Every stock call on X, scored.
Type an account's handle. See how its calls did against the S&P 500 at 1 week, 1 month and 3 months, with every post quoted.
Record forthe handle you look up
Look up a handle and its record prints here: hit rate, excess return vs SPY, scored calls and a 90% interval at three horizons.
How to read a record
- Hit rate
- The share of scored calls with a positive excess return in the direction of the call.
- Excess return vs SPY
- How far the stock beat or trailed SPY over the same window, counted in the direction of the call and averaged across scored calls.
- Scored calls
- Calls old enough to measure at that horizon. Newer calls join as their window closes.
- 90% interval
- A Wilson score interval: the range the true hit rate likely sits in, given how many calls there are.
Why keep score
- You bought on a confident post and never saw the account's misses.
- Finance accounts on X post calls every day and nobody keeps score.
- Winning screenshots get reposted while losing calls scroll away.
How a call is scored
- Counts
- A post in the account's own words that names a ticker and a direction, long or short. When a post is ambiguous, it is left out.
- Doesn't count
- Vague sector talk, questions, retweets of other accounts, and after-the-fact “I told you so” posts.
- Measured
- The stock's return minus SPY's return over the same window, at 1 week, 1 month and 3 months after the post.
- Hit
- A positive excess return in the direction of the call. Anything else is a miss.
| Call | Stock | SPY | In the call's direction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long | +6.0% | +2.0% | +4.0% | Hit |
| Long | +1.0% | +2.5% | −1.5% | Miss |
| Short | −3.0% | +1.0% | +4.0% | Hit |
Each scored call quotes the original post with its timestamp, and the methodology page shows every formula. The 90% interval around each hit rate is a Wilson score interval, so a record built on few calls shows how uncertain it is.
Read the methodologyWhat's on a record
- Every scored call, quoted
- The original post word for word, with its timestamp, in date order. Hits and misses stay side by side.
- Three horizons
- Return and excess return vs SPY at 1 week, 1 month and 3 months after each call.
- A Dispute button on every call
- Pick a reason and a person reviews it. The numbers don't change until a reviewer rules.
- One shareable card
- Post an account's record card to X or copy its link. The card carries the methodology address.
- A public methodology
- What counts as a call, every formula, the data source and how disputes are reviewed.
Check the record before you act on the next call.
One search shows an account's verified call record.
Look up an account